The Crowd vs The Market

Matches where readers are on the pair the bookmakers do not favour. Both columns are opinions about the same question — who wins — but they are not the same kind of number, so this page compares who each side favours and never the figures themselves.

For context: readers are right 64% of the time across 45 settled picks.

Has it been worth anything?

Not yet answerable. 0 settled matches have been scored against the market that stood before them; the question needs a good many more.

4 scored matches are unusable either way: the picks were level, or the books never agreed on a favourite.

Why there is no “difference” column

A bookmaker’s price comes from money at risk and carries the book’s margin. A readers’ share comes from people tapping a free button. Subtracting one from the other produces a confident-looking number about nothing, so we don’t: what is comparable is which pair each side favours, and that is what the table shows.

Readers’ opinions, not probabilities. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly.